Tuesday, 20 November, 2018

How midterm elections have changed Congress since 1946

Supporters of US President Donald Trump cheer during a The Fight for the Senate, 2018: The Results As They Come In
| 09 November, 2018, 05:24

Turnout for midterm elections is traditionally lower than in presidential years, but the results could have dramatic implications for the United States, and in particular for Trump's legislative agenda.

Midterm elections are often seen as a referendum on the president and there is no shortage of opinions this time around about the current occupant of the White House.

The significance of the Republican victory in the Senate, which the party has dominated for the past four years, was magnified because Democrats wrested House control from the GOP. While Democrats have maintained a consistent message about healthcare, the president has muddied Republican efforts to focus on economic successes. But the closeness of the toss-up races - Republican Sen.

In one example, voter turnout in a critical swing district in Florida was 87% of what it was in 2016, when Trump won the presidency.

Outside Richmond, Virginia, one-time tea party favorite Rep. Dave Brat faced an unusually strong challenge from Democrat Abigail Spanberger, a former Central Intelligence Agency operative motivated to run for office after the GOP vote to gut the Affordable Care Act.

Republicans retained Senate control Tuesday after ousting Democratic incumbents in Indiana, North Dakota and Missouri, delivering a victory to President Donald Trump by preserving the chamber as a showplace for his conservative...

The tax law was particularly problematic for Republicans in New Jersey, where at least three GOP-held seats flipped.

Trump's polarizing impact on the country has driven unusually high interest in the election, the first major political test of his presidency and one that will provide Democrats with clues to the strategy they'll need to challenge him in 2020. Young voters promised to vote in record numbers as they waged mass protests in the wake of the February mass shooting at a Parkland, Florida, high school that left 17 students and staff dead.

Democrats also picked critical governor seats in the states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania - all states won by Trump in 2016.

A surge in early voting, fuelled by a focus on Trump's nationalistic, norms-breaking presidency by supporters of both parties, could signal the highest turnout in 50 years for a midterm USA election when the White House is not on the line. "The President has energized a staggering number of Americans at packed arenas and in overflow crowds at rallies across the country", Sanders said.

Around 37 percent of eligible voters took part in the 2014 mid-term elections, down from 42 percent in 2010.


The midterms have even been dubbed the "health care election".

Trump spent the day at the White House, tweeting, making calls, monitoring the races and meeting with his political team.

First of all, with 435 seats in the House of Representatives, the first party to hit 218 seats as election results roll in tonight wins.

The Republicans take control of the House and Senate, ending 14 years of a Democratic majority in both chambers that started with Franklin D. Roosevelt's election in 1932.

CNN senior writer and political analyst Harry Enten published his final forecast Tuesday morning, in which he predicts Democrats to pick up 32 seats in the House and Republicans to gain a seat in the Senate.

"Thanks to you, tomorrow will be a new day in America", said House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi (Calif.), who is poised to reclaim the speaker's gavel she lost eight years ago. "Or are we going to get up and fight for the things we believe in and say that we deserve our seat at the table?" "Do not let their scare tactics frighten you away from the polls". Nevada could be more important, because Dean Heller is the most vulnerable Senate GOP incumbent in the nation, and Democrats probably need to win his seat to seize the majority.

Early results began to trickle in from states such as in, site of a vital US Senate race, and Kentucky, home of a pivotal US House of Representatives race, but it could be hours before the winners are determined.

An IPSO poll conducted ahead of the mid-terms found "investigating and potentially impeaching" Trump was the number one priority for Democratic voters. A hilarious "SNL" skit that aired on November 3 depicted Democratic voters as being in a state of maximum anxiety over the 2018 midterms no matter how much they tried to pretend they were feeling optimistic-and according to a new Gallup survey, that skit isn't off base. The survey is separate from the traditional exit polls for the television networks. Polls show Wexton claiming the seat, which has been held by a Republican for over 30 years. Almost two-thirds of those voters said Mr. Trump was a factor.

"We'll just have to work a little bit differently", he told reporters.

Democrats could also recapture governor's offices in several battleground states such as Michigan, Wisconsin and OH, a potential help for the party in those states in the 2020 presidential race.

But the Republicans could lose up to 10 state gubernatorial races.

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